Saturday, December 23, 2023

Winning in Online Skilled Gaming… Err… Gambling! [Part 04]

 

Optimistic+ (My Creation)
(Best Applied to Baccarat Class of Games)

If you have played any of the baccarat class of games like dragon tiger, cricket war or football studio – you may find that it virtually is a 50% probability game on either side – not including the tie or suited tie that happens once in a while. Now, in this class of games the experienced gamer even by using the fibonacci technique, might still end up losing big. This is because of long streaks of a specific side winning again and again, combined with the dogged approach of the fibonacci player and the act of continuing beyond the safe limits without bet auto stoppers. Now, even with bet auto stoppers in place, you may not be able to win as much.

Hence, the optimistic+ algorithm. The naming of the algorithm is due to ‘the optimistic belief that a side that is winning will continue to win’. Now, rather than betting on a side that will eventually win, you continue betting on the side that is winning. For most baccarat style 2 card games, this approach will yield more to the player. But you still need to have the safe limits operation using the bet auto stoppers.


Betting On

Bet (Game Set Restarts)

Result

Winning Amt (This Bet)

Side 1

100

Side 1

+100

Side 1

100

Side 1

+100

Side 1

100

Side 1

+100

Side 1

100

Side 2

-100

Side 1

200

Tie

-100

Side 1

300

Side 2

-300

Side 1

100

Side 1

+100

Fibonacci (Bet Amount in Game Set Starts at 100, Progresses as 100, 200, 300, ...)
Player Continues Betting on Side 1)


You can observe from the above that using fibonacci, the player started him game set every time at 100, and progressed via fibonacci series bets of 100, 200, 300 and so on… In the above game, the player had started continuously betting on Side 1, after analyzing the game dynamics, believing that we will get the greatest return on Side 1 using the ‘Never Lose’ strategy with ‘Bet Auto Stopper’. If you have understood this article well and have played the casino games for some time, you can easily see that he has total winnings of -100, that is an overall loss of 100.  This is because he continued with an pessimistic approach that he will eventually win with his bets on Side 1.

Now, let us take a look at the optimistic+ strategy. In this case, the player starts simply betting on the side that had last won. In this case, he can either use the progressive style of betting or fibonacci to place the bets. So, you observe that he has a total winning amount of 700. Now, this technique allows you to win on a board that is continuously producing mini, medium or long sequences of the same winning side. But on a board, where the result is continuously alternating between side 1 and side 2, you might end up losing for some time, until the game again settles into sequences of one side. If there are really long sequences of alternating sides, you may choose to stop for some time, take a mini break and then come back to start off betting on the winning side.

Almost always this strategy is going to yield. But you need to combine with either fibonacci or progressive style along with the bet auto stoppers or quantum+ algorithm.

 

Bet

Bet (Progressive Betting Style)

Result

Winning Amount (This Bet)

Side 1

100

Side 1

+100

Side 1

150

Side 1

+150

Side 1

200

Side 1

+200

Side 1

250

Side 2

-250

Side 2

300

Tie

-150

Side 2

300

Side 2

+300

Side 1

350

Side 1

+350

Optimistic+ Algorithm with Progressive Style of Betting (For a x1, Even Money Payout)

 
Ploppy 3:2 with 0 Technique
(Technique is Used for Roulette Class of Games)

This is a time-tested technique and the internet provides many articles and videos on how to apply and use this technique. Let me describe this technique once again over here, but very briefly.

The idea of ploppy 3:2 is to increase your chances/probability of winning in every spin at the table. You have to place 2 bets simultaneously, in the amount ratio of 3:2, with 3/5th amount being placed on an even money payout slot like [black] on a roulette table and 2/5th of the amount being placed on a 2 to 1 slot for the top row.

For example, if you choose to place the 3/5 bet amount on all [black numbers], you are covering 18/36 numbers and if you choose to place the 2/5 bet amount on the top row [3-36] numbers, you are covering 12/36 number. If we were to remove the common numbers, the probability increases to 26/36. But you have to note that we are ignoring the green [0] in this probability – which usually turns up sometimes as the winner and pays handsomely like 25x, 30x or 36x. Some of the roulette version have gold bars or multipliers placed and as per my observation, it lands on the green number [0] more often. Hence, the chance of that bonus amount via multiplier increases. Hence, my technique is an adaptation of the ploppy 3:2 with 0.

If you have understood the mathematical basis above, you will be able to apply it in variants, so as to bet on maximum numbers in one go. For example, you may place the 3/5 bet amount on all [red numbers], combined with 2/5 bet on the second row [2-35].


You may combine Ploppy 3:2 with 0 Technique, with fibonacci, progressive bets or quantum techniques. But the reasoning in ploppy 3:2 or in other games to place the bets on specific section or number, coined by me, is called by me as the Late Appearing Section on Table (LAST). So, Betting via LAST works on the concept that the section/number that occurred least frequently (or the most earliest in the win sequence) has a greater chance of appearing again. The opposite of this reasoning is Fresh Appearing Section on Table (FAST). FAST is very close to our Optimistic+ strategy, only that FAST will be used in combination with others, on table games with lots many number to bet, like Roulette Class of Games and Optimistic+ is ideal for Baccarat Class of Games.

 

Winning Sequence on Table (Last Winning Number at the Start): 31, 28, 1, 30, 36, 24, 13, 10, 29, 0, 0, 7, 5, 22, 22, 18, 15, 34, 34, 35

 

Using LAST Reasoning, My Prediction is that Next Winning Number will be from Top Row [3-36] as it occurred earliest in sequence.

Using FAST Reasoning, My Prediction is that Next Winning Number will be from Row #2 [2-25] as it recently occurred in sequence.

Please also take a look at the Table Statistics provided by Online Casinos, to refine or optimize your bets using the above reasoning


(Table for European Roulette and Returns 2 to 1 on Rows)
(Even Payout on Color/Column/Dozen/High/Low Numbers, 36x on 0)

3/5 Bet Amount

2/5 Bet Amount

Bet on Green 0

Winning Number

Total Win/Loss

[150] Black Numbers

[100] Top Row (3-36)

20

0

+0700

[150] Black Numbers

[100] Top Row (3-36)

20

29

+0730

[300] Black Numbers

[200] Top Row (3-36)

20

10

+0810

[300] Black Numbers

[200] Top Row (3-36)

20

13

+0890

[300] Black Numbers

[200] Top Row (3-36)

20

24

+1470

[300] Red Numbers

[200] 2nd Row (2-35)

20

36

+1550

[300] Red Numbers

[200] 2nd Row (2-35)

20

30

+1630

[300] Red Numbers

[200] 2nd Row (2-35)

20

1

+1710

[600] Red Numbers

[400] 2nd Row (2-35)

20

28

+0590

[300] Red Numbers

[200] 2nd Row (2-35)

20

31

+0070

(Refer to Winning Sequence Given Above, Joined Table at the Highlighted 0)
(Playing using Progressive Bets Variant & LAST Reasoning)


You see that in the above self-explanatory game set, driven by variant of progressive bets and using LAST reasoning – The player has ended up with +0070 winnings. With few good decisions or using FAST reasoning, the outcomes could have been better. Fibonacci may also be used in combination with Ploppy 3:2 with 0. So, based on the current statistics of winning numbers you can make better decisions and apply the above technique to win at roulette class of games.

Remember, once you learn, understand and apply to win (or lose) using the above techniques – You will very easily be able to combine the techniques to achieve success at online casino games. Also, you may be able to improvise. These are only based on my experience, my own intellect and reasoning at playing these games for a very short time (less than a calendar month). But I would say all these techniques had helped me win to good extent, but I ended up losing due to reckless betting, lack of adherence to bet stoppers and most of all due to poor to disastrous emotional intelligence.

Please try to revise/define these terms or techniques by yourself: Bet Auto Stopper, FAST, LAST, Game Set, Optimistic+, Quantum+, Fibonacci Betting, Progressive Betting, Quantum Slice, Ploppy 3:2, Emotional Intelligence, Impulsive Gambing, Compulsive Gambling, Probability, Odds, Ratio, 2 to 1, Even Payout, 2x,

 

Few Accessories and Trackers

Unless you have got hold of some software application (or created one by yourself) or are fine at using excel sheets (or just want to rely on your own memory) – You may find the following very interesting additions while playing online games. Remember, few may find it just a pain to maintain all these, You may just use them as per your convenience.

 

Finger Counter: https://t.ly/mYD3U

The above finger counters may be ideal if you want to keep a count of your sequence number in the current game set. You might also use 2 or 3 finger counters at the same time either on your fingers or placed suitably on a table near you – where you count the sequence of each type or each number.


Playing Sheets https://t.ly/3_Vdz

Playing sheets may let you keep count of your planned bet sequence in quantum+ or in a simple game set. You may create variants of the playing sheet as provided in the above link. I had used this playing sheet for quantum+ with progressive betting style in a wheel of fortune class of game.

 

Concluding Note

The above explanation is primarily based out of my experience playing on the online skilled gaming and casino site, Parimatch. Parimatch is a fair online betting site and even though it is ‘heavy to load on a pc’ even on a 300mbps internet connection – It has very many games and rooms to give you the flexibility to learn, experiment, play, win (and lose!). Also, the withdrawals are done quite fast. Also, deposit mechanism is very easy.  But I cannot say the same about the ‘bonus’. It is best that you stay away from all types of ‘Parimatch Bonuses’. In any case, it is my experience, but you might have had a different experience. But my rating of Parimatch is almost 4 stars out of 5. It is best you have a 500mpbs to 1gbps internet connection to extract maximum out of this site. 

Also, the above explanations might help you the most in these games in online casinos. But once you learn the strategy and concepts, you may apply it as per your need across games and across casinos.

Roulette Class of Games
Lightning Roulette, Gold Roulette, Galaxy Roulette

Baccarat Class of Games
Dragon Tiger, Cricket War, Football Studio

Wheel of Fortune Class of Games
Spin-a-Win, Mega Wheel, Music Wheel

 

“I play to win and if it looks like I've lost, its only because it’s not over yet.”

 

Winning in Online Skilled Gaming… Err… Gambling! [Part 03]

 


Idea of Bet Auto Stopper

Now, nobody likes to lose when they are on a winning streak. Once you have learned to use fibonacci style of betting – you might be winning very often. You might slowly to see that the cash you deposited would have increased to about 125%, 150% or even more. You might have started to think about paying off that small loan, paying off an emi or even better…. about buying a two-wheeler. But that’s when your dreams may come down crashing. The reason more often that not being reckless and non-safe usage of fibonacci. This is where I can come in with the concept of a ‘bet auto stopper’. Like I said earlier, we are all bound by realms of reality. Now, you have to decide a game set. Game Set, defined by me, is a series of bets placed using fibonacci playing style until the time that you win. In our above example, let us see what is going to happen if you are on a prolonged losing streak, using fibonacci, by placing bets on a 2 to 1 field.


Bet Amount

Total Bet Amount

Result

Total Win

100

100

Lost

-0100

100

200

Lost

-0200

200

400

Lost

-0400

300

700

Lost

-0700

500

1200

Lost

-1200

800

2000

Lost

-2000

1300

3300

Lost

-3300

2100

5400

Lost

-5400

4300

9700

Lost

-9700

6400

16100

Lost

-16100

12800

28900

Lost

-28900

Fibonacci Bets User by Experienced
(Prolonged/Reckless without Safe Limits using Fibonacci on 2 to 1)


Suppose you originally start with a deposit of INR 20,000 in the online casino and then the money in your account went up to 29,000 using intelligent bets placed using fibonacci and a bit of luck. By now, you have entered that world where you are so sure of this ‘mathematical basis’ that you continue increasing the bet amount, in fibonacci style. This is because the basis for these bets is so strong in your mind, that you are ready to take deadly risks. As shown in the table above, you are going to exhaust all the money in your account. Worse still, you may again and again refill your online casino account – and continue the series of failures, leading to a disaster. This is when I will say Skilled Gaming has moved to Impulsive and Compulsive Gambling.

But it is not going to be your fault. Because of a strong mathematical basis, you will start believing that you will surely win all your money back and go to a positive hand. So, here is where the idea of a ‘Bet Auto Stopper’  in a Fibonacci Game Set, comes to your rescue. It is very tough to implement this in the real world, as this is where your EQ comes into the picture. You need to be mentally strong and emotionally intelligent, to stop the bets beyond the safe point. It might be ok for you to take make that one last bet in your danger zone, but you should be mature to stop it beyond that point.


Bet Amount

Total Bet Amount

Result

Total Win

100

100

Lost

-0100

100

200

Lost

-0200

200

400

Lost

-0400

300

700

Lost

-0700

500

1200

Lost

-1200

800

2000

Lost

-2000

1300

3300

Lost

-3300

2100

5400

Lost

-5400

4300

9700

Lost

-9700

6400

16100

Lost

-16100

12800

28900

Lost

-28900

Fibonacci Bets User by Experienced
(Showing Typical Safe Limit, Last Bet in Safe Limit and Danger Zone)

 

SAFE ZONE

 

LAST BET

 

 

DANGER ZONE


The best or rather the worst part is - that once you stop using ‘bet auto stopper’, you will see that as if out of magic, the winning number is exactly matching your bet sequence. It is as if the game is mocking you. But that is where being emotionally intelligent comes into the picture, you have to ignore all of these and continue onto your next game set, possibly after a short break. You will observe that if you are playing regularly, on a few days or at few intervals of time – you enter into this very often. This is because your mind has now got used to winning and it is not accepting that you lost. Because the only reasoning for this loss, that you did not have enough money to continue your bets. So, that is where you have to learn to operate within the ‘realms of reality’. Slowly n Steadily, you will see that you are able to keep your winnings and win a small to moderate amount on a daily basis at online casinos.

[Note] Before we continue, remember that Fibonacci Style works best for 2 to 1, 3x payouts or more. Progressive Style where you may double or more the bet amount in the subsequent game works best for even payout or 1x win amount. 


Quantum+ Algorithm (My Creation)

Now when times are bad just because of you did not play to the idea of a bet auto stopper or you are just having a bad day, when you are continuously losing even with safe bets, I have devised a low bet, low profit variation called as Quantum+ Algorithm. I am the proud creator of this algorithm. Remember, you need to have an analysis of currently on game and find out the statistics of the winning numbers before you start off on the Quantum+. This algorithm involves placing bets for a specific quantum of bets. Quantum+ will allow you to place safe bets within a given quantum of time/game set. You have to adapt this algorithm across games, using your own intellect and try to improvise.

In the previous game set description in the previous, you would usually continue to bet until either you have won or reached a bet auto stopper or possibly, until you run out of cash. Now, Quantum+ would require you to bring down the bet amount to very safe limits and continuously bet in a given quantum (adaptation of game set) and each bet is a slice in the quantum. Quantum+ Algorithm will really work well on 5x, 10x, 15x type of returns and may also allow you to autoplay.


 

Bet (Quantum Slice)

Total Bet Amount

Result

Total Win

1.        

50

50

Lost

-0050

2.        

100

150

Lost

-0150

3.        

100

250

Lost

-0250

4.        

100

350

Lost

-0350

5.        

200

550

Lost

-0550

6.        

200

750

Won 600

-0150

7.        

200

950

Won 600

+0250

8.        

200

1150

Lost

+0050

9.        

300

1450

Lost

-0250

10.     

300

1750

Lost

-0550

11.     

300

2050

Lost

-0850

12.     

400

2450

Won 1200

-0050

13.     

400

2850

Lost

-0450

14.     

400

3250

Lost

-0850

15.     

500

3750

Won 1500

+0150

16.     

500

4250

Won 1500

+1650

17.     

1000

5250

Lost

+1000

18.     

1000

6250

Lost

+0000

19.     

1250

7500

Won 3750

+2500

20.     

1250

8750

Lost

+1250

Quantum+ Algorithm with Progressive Style of Betting (For a 2 to 1 Bet)

 

SAFE ZONE

 

LAST BET

 

 

DANGER ZONE


Now, you see this is just like a robot on auto play and you are not too much bothered about game dynamics that happen during the course of this quantum. You are more emotionally detached, believing in the algorithm – because of the time that you had spent on analysis at the beginning on what to bet and the quantum slices. In the above quantum set, you can see that by winning only 6/20 times, which is just 30% - the player has a total win of 1250. But this may not be the outcome always. It might read lost across the table. Hence, you have to combine a soft bet auto stopper and observe carefully and either restart of adopt a different approach as per your own discretion and analysis.